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“Poll of Opinion Polls Forecasts BJP Victory in Lok Sabha Elections 2024, Falls Short of ‘400+’ Target”

Kalyani Jha
17 Apr, 2024

A comprehensive poll of opinion polls released by NDTV has shed light on the expected outcomes of the upcoming Lok Sabha Elections 2024, predicting a victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) but with a potential shortfall in reaching their ambitious “400+” target. Here are the key takeaways from the poll analysis:

1. Projected Seat Distribution: The NDTV poll of opinion polls suggests that the NDA is poised to secure 365 out of the 543 contested seats, marking a 3.4% increase from its 2019 tally of 353 seats. On the other hand, the Opposition’s INDIA bloc is anticipated to win 122 seats, indicating a substantial 35% rise compared to the United Progressive Alliance’s (UPA) 90 seats in 2019.

2. Regional Dynamics: The BJP is expected to dominate the Hindi Heartland and secure clear victories in eight states and Union Territories, with a particularly close contest projected in West Bengal and Maharashtra.

3. West Bengal Scenario: The poll suggests a neck-and-neck battle in West Bengal, with projections favoring Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress (TMC) to win 22 seats, while the BJP is anticipated to secure 19 seats, just one more than its 2019 tally.

4. Maharashtra Electoral Landscape: Maharashtra is poised for an intense showdown between the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance and the Shiv Sena-Congress-NCP-led Maha Vikas Aghadi alliance. The poll indicates a potential dominance by the Mahayuti, winning an estimated 30 out of 48 seats.

5. Election Timeline: With voting scheduled to commence on April 19 in seven phases, culminating in the announcement of results on June 4, the political landscape is set for a riveting and consequential electoral process.

Overall, while the BJP-NDA alliance is predicted to emerge victorious, the poll of opinion polls underscores the dynamic nature of Indian politics, with regional complexities and close contests shaping the electoral narrative.